Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 43%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-0 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.