Scottish League Cup Gameweek 3
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Borough Briggs
  • Owen Cairns 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bailey Rice 32'
  • redcard Jamie Brandon 36'
  • yellowcard Ethan Schilte-Brown 51'
  • goal Joe Hugill 90'+4'

Elgin City vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Elgin City

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 14, 2026 7.45pm
Elgin 1 - 3 Peterhead

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 14, 2026 7.45pm
Kilmarnock 0 - 0 Raith Rovers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.18% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%) , while for a Elgin City win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Elgin City 20.4% (-0.02)
Draw 22.18%
Kilmarnock 57.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.03%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.97% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.03% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 56.87%
Under 2.5 43.13%
Over 3.5 34.54%
Under 3.5 65.46%
Over 4.5 21.66%
Under 4.5 78.34%

First Half Winner

Elgin City 23.83%
Draw 37.79%
Kilmarnock 38.38%

Team To Score First

Elgin City 35.81%
No Goal 5.67%
Kilmarnock 58.52%

Corners

Over 8 66.2%
Equal 8 10.33%
Under 8 23.48%
Over 9 54.96%
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 33.8%
Over 10.5 43.76%
Under 10.5 56.24%

Elgin City Goals

Over 1.5 24.7%
Under 1.5 75.3%
Over 2.5 7.8%
Under 2.5 92.2%
Over 3.5 2.27%
Under 3.5 97.73%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 82.45% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 17.55% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 55.39% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 44.61% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 29.95% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 70.05% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.2%
Under 3.5 86.8%

Score analysis

Elgin City 20.4%
Draw 22.19%
Kilmarnock 57.42%
Elgin City
1-0 @ 5.53%
2-1 @ 5.31%
2-0 @ 2.93%
3-1 @ 1.69%
3-2 @ 1.51%
3-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 20.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.22%
0-0 @ 5.67%
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.19%
Kilmarnock
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-1 @ 9.84%
0-2 @ 8.93%
1-3 @ 6.08%
0-3 @ 5.98% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.53%
Other @ 13.19%
Total : 57.42%