EFL Cup
Oct 28, 2026 8.00pm
Anfield

Liverpool vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Chelsea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 29.97% and a draw has a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 1-2 (6.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.66%).

Result

Liverpool 48.58% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 21.5% ▲ (+0.06)
Chelsea 29.97% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.71% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.04%
Under 1.5 14.96%
Over 2.5 66.79% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 33.21% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 44.99%
Under 3.5 55.01%
Over 4.5 29.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 70.29% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Liverpool 41.73%
Draw 36.15%
Chelsea 22.12%

Team To Score First

Liverpool 59.61% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 3.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Chelsea 36.66% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.96%
Equal 8 10.5%
Under 8 34.53%
Over 9 44.44%
Equal 9 10.52%
Under 9 45.04%
Over 10.5 34.7%
Under 10.5 65.3%

Liverpool Goals

Over 1.5 54.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 45.64% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 29.71% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 70.29% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 13.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 86.5% ▲ (+0.05)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 66.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 33.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 38.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 61.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 6.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.41% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Liverpool 48.59%
Draw 21.49%
Chelsea 29.98%
Liverpool
2-1 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 4.61%
3-0 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 13.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 48.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.47%
0-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.49%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-1 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 29.98%

Head to Head

Premier League
May 9, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Anfield
  • Ryan Gravenberch 6' goal
  • Alexander Isak 67' yellowcard
  • Joe Gomez 77' yellowcard
  • Federico Chiesa 77' yellowcard
  • goal Enzo Fernández 35'
  • yellowcard Reece James  63'
Premier League
Oct 4, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 35
May 4, 2025 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Enzo Fernandez 3' goal
  • Trevoh Chalobah 54' yellowcard
  • Jarell Quansah 56' goal
  • Jadon Sancho 84' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 51'
  • yellowcard Jarell Quansah 58'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 85'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2024 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
  • Arne Slot 26' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Salah 29' goal
  • Curtis Jones 51' goal
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 69' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Konate 80' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tosin Adarabioyo 6'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Jackson 28'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 48'
  • yellowcard Renato Veiga 78'
EFL Cup
Feb 25, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
ET Stamford Bridge
  • Ben Chilwell 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 120'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Bradley 45'+3'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 60'
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 81'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Konate 82'
  • yellowcard James McConnell 107'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 118'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 120'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 31, 2024 8.15pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Anfield
  • Diogo Jota 23' goal
  • Conor Bradley 39' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 47' yellowcard
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 65' goal
  • Ibrahima Konate 76' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 79' goal
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 11'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 33'
  • yellowcard Ben Chilwell 35'
  • yellowcard Axel Disasi 41'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 71'