Eerste Divisie Gameweek 16
De Graafschap
Nov 20, 2026 7.00pm
Stadion De Vijverberg
MVV

De Graafschap vs MVV Maastricht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 11.15am
Vitesse 0 - 0 De Graafschap
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Julian Kania

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 3.45pm
Emmen 0 - 2 MVV
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Olivier Dumont

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a De Graafschap win with a probability of 57.14%. A win for MVV Maastricht has a probability of 21.9% and a draw has a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.25%) and 1-0 (7.13%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win is 1-2 (5.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.89%).

Result

De Graafschap 57.14%
Draw 20.96% ▼ (-0.01)
MVV Maastricht 21.9% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.34%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 14.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 66.53%
Under 2.5 33.47%
Over 3.5 44.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 55.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 29.91%
Under 4.5 70.09%

First Half Winner

De Graafschap 43.43%
Draw 33.6%
MVV Maastricht 22.97%

Team To Score First

De Graafschap 58.79%
No Goal 3.62%
MVV Maastricht 37.59%

Corners

Over 8 66.69%
Equal 8 10.55%
Under 8 22.76%
Over 9 55.13%
Equal 9 11.57%
Under 9 33.31%
Over 10.5 43.56%
Under 10.5 56.44%

De Graafschap Goals

Over 1.5 61%
Under 1.5 39%
Over 2.5 35.48%
Under 2.5 64.52%
Over 3.5 17.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 82.22% ▼ (-0.02)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5 59.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 40.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 11.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.1% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

De Graafschap 57.14%
Draw 20.97%
MVV Maastricht 21.89%
De Graafschap
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 7.25%
1-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 6.41%
3-0 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 17.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 57.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 3.62%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.97%
MVV Maastricht
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-1 @ 3.97%
0-2 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.53%
1-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 21.89%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 29
MVV
Feb 27, 2026 7.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT De Geusselt
De Graafschap
  • Sven Braken 9' goal
  • Adam Zaian 41' yellowcard
  • Adam Zaian 49' yellowcard
  • Travis de Jong 60' yellowcard
  • Sven Braken 61' goal
  • Luca Foubert 61' yellowcard
  • Travis de Jong 61' yellowcard
  • Stan Van Dessel 63' goal
  • Finn Dicke 74' yellowcard
  • Simon Francis 85' yellowcard
  • Thijme Verheijen 85' yellowcard
  • Simon Francis 88' yellowcard
  • goal Nils Eggens 21'
  • goal Reuven Niemeijer 26'
  • yellowcard Rowan Besselink 29'
  • yellowcard Kaya Symons 71'
  • yellowcard Kyano Kwint 71'
  • yellowcard Chahid el Allachi 71'
  • yellowcard Fedde de Jong 71'
  • yellowcard Chahid el Allachi 72'
  • yellowcard Stijn Bultman 76'
  • goal Kyano Kwint 80'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 3
De Graafschap
Aug 22, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
MVV
  • 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lenn-Minh Tran 57'
  • yellowcard 59'
  • goal Jael Pawaridihadjo 89'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 31
De Graafschap
Mar 22, 2025 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
MVV
  • Wanya Marcal 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wout Coomans 33'
  • yellowcard Marco Kleinen 55'
  • yellowcard Robyn Esajas 65'
  • yellowcard Lars Schenk 66'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 14
MVV
Nov 8, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT De Geusselt
De Graafschap
  • Tim Zeegers 56' yellowcard
  • Ilano Silva Timas 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ralf Seuntjens 58'
  • yellowcard Jeffry Fortes 66'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 36
De Graafschap
Apr 26, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
MVV
  • Jeffry Fortes 35' goal
  • Alexander Buttner 61' yellowcard
  • Anis Yadir 65' goal
  • Tristan van Gilst 71' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 7
MVV
Sep 24, 2023 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT De Geusselt
De Graafschap
  • Tunahan Tasci 27' goal
  • goal Donny Warmerdam 43'
  • goal Jan Lammers 51'
  • yellowcard Donny Warmerdam 71'

Form Data

Vitesse 0 - 0 De Graafschap
Volendam 1 - 2 De Graafschap
Roda JC 1 - 0 De Graafschap
De Graafschap 1 - 1 RKC Waalwijk
Jong Ajax 2 - 1 De Graafschap
De Graafschap 2 - 1 Jong Utrecht
Emmen 0 - 2 MVV
MVV 1 - 2 VVV-Venlo
MVV 0 - 3 Excelsior
Den Bosch 2 - 2 MVV
MVV 1 - 5 Heracles
NAC Breda 1 - 0 MVV