Eerste Divisie Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2026 11.15am
GelreDome

Vitesse vs De Graafschap - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions
Last game
Nov 2, 2026 7.00pm
Jong Ajax 1 - 1 Vitesse
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Naoufal Bannis

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 7.00pm
Volendam 1 - 2 De Graafschap
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Julian Kania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitesse win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for De Graafschap has a probability of 33.79% and a draw has a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.23%) and 3-1 (5.45%). The likeliest De Graafschap win is 1-2 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.04%).

Result

Vitesse 44.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 22.01%
De Graafschap 33.79% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.26%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.54%
Under 1.5 14.46%
Over 2.5 67.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 32.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 43.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 56.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 27.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 72.44% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Vitesse 35.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 36.71% ▲ (+0.03)
De Graafschap 27.7% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Vitesse 52.9% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 3.15%
De Graafschap 43.95% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 67.18% ▲ (+0.31)
Equal 8 10.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 22.31% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 9 55.58% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 9 11.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 32.82% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 10.5 43.92% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 10.5 56.08% ▼ (-0.25)

Vitesse Goals

Over 1.5 51.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 48.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 26.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 73.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.4% ▼ (-0.01)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5 71.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 42.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 57.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 19.7%
Under 2.5 80.3%
Over 3.5 7.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Vitesse 44.19%
Draw 22.01%
De Graafschap 33.8%
Vitesse
2-1 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.27%
3-0 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 10% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 44.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.9%
0-0 @ 3.15%
3-3 @ 2.32%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 22.01%
De Graafschap
1-2 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.06%
0-2 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.69%
0-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 33.8%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Mar 8, 2026 11.15am
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • Chahid el Allachi 46' yellowcard
  • Nils Eggens 53' goal
  • Jevon Simons 65' yellowcard
  • Kyano Kwint 66' yellowcard
  • Kaya Symons 76' yellowcard
  • Fedde de Jong 76' yellowcard
  • Milan Smits 87' yellowcard
  • Milan Smits 88' yellowcard
  • goal Naoufal Bannis 10'
  • goal Valon Zumberi 31'
  • yellowcard Elias Huth 46'
  • goal Mathijs Marschalk 60'
  • yellowcard Yuval Ranon 69'
  • yellowcard Adam Tahaui 69'
  • yellowcard Moustafa Moustafa 75'
  • yellowcard Nino Zonneveld 76'
  • yellowcard 76'
  • yellowcard Joâo Pinto 76'
  • yellowcard Chiel Olde Keizer 82'
  • yellowcard Chiel Olde Keizer 85'
  • goal Yuval Ranon 90'+1'
Eerste Divisie
Dec 4, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marcus Steffen 23' goal
  • goal Bouke Boersma 25'
  • yellowcard Jason Meerstadt 52'
  • yellowcard Reuven Niemeijer 71'
  • goal Reuven Niemeijer 86'
  • yellowcard Bouke Boersma 87'
Eerste Divisie
Aug 31, 2025 11.15am
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 26
Feb 16, 2025 11.15am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT GelreDome
  • Marcus Steffen 8' yellowcard
  • Theodosis Macheras 45' goal
  • Jim Koller 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Anass Najah 4'
  • yellowcard Reuven Niemeijer 52'
  • yellowcard Tristan van Gilst 88'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 8
Sep 29, 2024 1.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • Levi Schoppema 36' goal
  • Donny Warmerdam 67' goal
  • Ralf Seuntjens 75' goal
  • Rowan Besselink 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Buttner 49'
  • redcard Alexander Buttner 55'
  • goal Irakli Yegoian 63'
  • yellowcard Enzo Cornelisse 73'
  • yellowcard Marcus Steffen 75'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
6
1
HT : 2 0
FT GelreDome (Arnhem)
  • Bart Straalman 26' goal
  • Thomas Buitink 37' goal
  • Vyacheslav Karavaev 65' yellowcard
  • Thomas Buitink 70' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 72' goal
  • Oussama Darfalou 80' goal
  • Richie Musaba 88' goal
  • yellowcard Bart Straalman 62'
  • goal Youssef El Jebli 86'