Eerste Divisie Gameweek 11
Oct 19, 2026 7.00pm
Sportpark De Toekomst

Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 7.00pm
Jong Ajax 0 - 3 VVV-Venlo
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Diego Pugno

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 7.00pm
De Graafschap 2 - 1 Jong Utrecht
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Julian Kania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a De Graafschap win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Jong Ajax has a probability of 28.31% and a draw has a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.78%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win is 2-1 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.99%).

Result

Jong Ajax 28.31% ▲ (+1.58)
Draw 23.08% ▲ (+0.80)
De Graafschap 48.61% ▼ (-2.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.15% ▲ (+0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.2% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 1.5 12.8% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 2.5 69.49% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 2.5 30.51% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 3.5 47.11% ▼ (-1.21)
Under 3.5 52.89% ▲ (+1.21)
Over 4.5 30.97% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 4.5 69.03% ▲ (+1.04)

First Half Winner

Jong Ajax 27.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 36.6% ▼ (-0.15)
De Graafschap 36.09% ▲ (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Jong Ajax 42.83% ▲ (+0.79)
No Goal 3.43% ▲ (+0.34)
De Graafschap 53.74% ▼ (-1.12)

Corners

Over 8 70.51% ▼ (-3.49)
Equal 8 9.69% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 8 19.8% ▲ (+2.75)
Over 9 59.54% ▼ (-4.03)
Equal 9 10.97% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 9 29.49% ▲ (+3.49)
Over 10.5 48.19% ▼ (-4.25)
Under 10.5 51.81% ▲ (+4.25)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 39.19% ▲ (+1.44)
Under 1.5 60.81% ▼ (-1.44)
Over 2.5 17.5% ▲ (+0.95)
Under 2.5 82.5% ▼ (-0.96)
Over 3.5 6.83% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 3.5 93.17% ▼ (-0.49)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5 81.3% ▼ (-1.16)
Under 0.5 18.7% ▲ (+1.15)
Over 1.5 56.98% ▼ (-2.22)
Under 1.5 43.02% ▲ (+2.22)
Over 2.5 31.78% ▼ (-1.93)
Under 2.5 68.22% ▲ (+1.93)
Over 3.5 14.99% ▼ (-1.05)
Under 3.5 85.01% ▲ (+1.06)

Score analysis

Jong Ajax 28.32%
Draw 23.07%
De Graafschap 48.62%
Jong Ajax
2-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.68)
1-0 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.40)
Other @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.35)
Total : 28.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.27)
2-2 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.34)
3-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.74% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 23.07%
De Graafschap
1-2 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.31)
0-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.31)
0-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.30)
Other @ 14.25% ▼ (-1.18)
Total : 48.62%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 26
Feb 6, 2026 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • Reuven Niemeijer 14' goal
  • Nils Eggens 47' goal
  • Nils Eggens 55' goal
  • Denzel Eijken 61' yellowcard
  • Kaya Symons 61' yellowcard
  • Kyano Kwint 70' yellowcard
  • Jevon Simons 70' yellowcard
  • Kyano Kwint 75' goal
  • Milan Smits 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kennynho Kasanwirjo 46'
  • yellowcard Luuk Beekman 69'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Ouazane 70'
  • yellowcard D. Kalokoh 79'
Eerste Divisie
Oct 3, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 35
Apr 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • Jack Cooper Love 2' goal
  • Donny Warmerdam 5' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 18
Dec 9, 2024 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
  • Christian Rasmussen 12' goal
  • Rayane Bounida 90'+7' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 31
Mar 11, 2024 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • yellowcard Oualid Agougil 32'
  • goal Jaydon Banel 62'
  • yellowcard Jaydon Banel 74'
  • yellowcard Rida Chahid 90'+7'
  • goal Nassef Chourak 90'+8'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2023 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
  • Ar'jany Martha 63' yellowcard
  • Kristian Hlynsson 79' goal
  • goal Basar Onal 6'
  • yellowcard Basar Onal 35'
  • yellowcard Jan Lammers 41'
  • yellowcard Rio Hillen 44'
  • goal David Flakus Bosilj 59'
  • yellowcard Donny Warmerdam 80'
  • yellowcard Stan Wevers 90'+6'