Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 79.88%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 7.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (2.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.