Conference League
Aug 6, 2026 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Lublin
  • Matviy Ponomarenko 10' goal
  • Vladyslav Dubinchak 14' yellowcard
  • Tomasz Kędziora 81' yellowcard
  • Mykola Shaparenko 90'+6' yellowcard
  • redcard Cebrail Makreckis 88'
  • yellowcard Matheus Silva 90'+4'

Dynamo Kiev vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Kiev

All competitions

Qarabag FK

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Dynamo Kiev 40.47% (-0.11)
Draw 22.96% (-0.04)
Qarabag FK 36.57% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.63% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.96% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 18.04% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 62.18% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 37.82% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 40.08% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 59.92% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 25.25% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 74.75% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Dynamo Kiev 31.81% (+0.01)
Draw 38.71% (+0.01)
Qarabag FK 29.48% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Dynamo Kiev 51.69% (+0.05)
No Goal 4.63% (-0.03)
Qarabag FK 43.68% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.77% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.04%
Under 8 35.2% (+0.03)
Over 9 42.85% (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.92%
Under 9 46.23% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 32.87% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 67.13% (+0.01)

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 1.5 45.26% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.74% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 21.89% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 78.11% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.59% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.41% (-0.02)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 71.39% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 28.61% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 42.61% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 57.39% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 20.19% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 79.81% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 8.16% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.84% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Dynamo Kiev 40.48%
Draw 22.96%
Qarabag FK 36.57%
Dynamo Kiev
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.18% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.21% (+0.02)
Total : 40.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.96%
Qarabag FK
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.72% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.02% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.29% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.78% (+0.04)
Total : 36.57%