MX23RW : Friday, January 18 08:21:11
Apr 25, 2015 at 3pm UK at ​The Den
Millwall
3-3
DerbyDerby County
Gregory (27', 36' pen., 50' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ince (42'), Martin (70' pen.), Hendrick (85')

Preview: Millwall vs. Derby County

Sports Mole previews the Championship clash between Millwall and Derby County at The Den, which the hosts must win or face relegation to League One.

Saturday's home game against Derby County is last-chance saloon for Millwall if they are to preserve their Championship status.

The Lions are four points adrift of safety with two games remaining, but their opponents are also seeking a win to make sure of their playoff place.



Millwall

Magaye Gueye of Millwall FC celebrates scoring Millwall's 2nd goal during the Sky Bet Championship match between Millwall and Wigan Athletic at The Den on April 14, 2015© Getty Images

With their goal difference comfortably inferior to that of nearest rivals Rotherham United, Millwall need two wins from two or a fortunate Football Association ruling to stay up.

Rotherham are facing a possible points deduction for fielding an ineligible player - Derby loanee Farrend Rawson - in their 1-0 win over Brighton & Hove Albion on Easter Monday.

The FA found last week that the highly-rated defender's youth loan at United had expired and that the paperwork over an extension had not being dealt with correctly. The Millers will learn their fate before this weekend.

Assuming that the Lions are not saved by Rotherham's administrative error, Neil Harris's side have no option but to beat the Rams after failing to pick up maximum points against either Cardiff City or Blackburn Rovers this week.

The blanks fired in those two games are evidence of where Millwall have struggled this season. Only relegated Blackpool have scored fewer times than the Lions, whose top scorer is five-goal winger Magaye Gueye.

Derby's own concerns have been in defensive areas and Harris and his side must exploit that weakness if they are to stand any chance of taking their most recent spell in English football's second tier into a sixth season.

Recent form: DWLWDL



Derby

Derby County's English manager Steve McClaren stands on the sideline during the English Championship Play Off final football match between Derby County and Queens Park Rangers at Wembley Stadium in London on May 24, 2014© Getty Images

Steve McClaren has constantly been lamenting his side's defensive performances of late and was doing just that following last weekend's 4-4 draw with Huddersfield Town.

The Rams took the lead at the Galpharm Stadium, but were later salvaging a point with Tom Ince's equaliser after a series of defensive errors that have hindered their promotion push over the last couple of months.

County were right in the mix for a top-two finish until a run of four wins in 15 matches, in which they have kept only three clean sheets.

Their playoff spot briefly appeared to be in jeopardy, but Brentford and Wolverhampton Wanderers dropping points of late leave Derby only one win shy of securing their place in the upcoming lottery for Premier League status.

McClaren will be hoping to get things safely wrapped up with victory at The Den, although mid-table Reading do not pose ominous final-day opponents.

A point this weekend would effectively be enough should both Brentford and Wolves fail to win, with Derby's goal difference better by more than 20.

Recent form: LDWDWD



Team News

Derby's Craig Bryson celebrates after scoring his third goal against Nottingham Forest during the Championship match on March 22, 2014© Getty Images

Derby will be without Craig Bryson and Zak Whitbread for the final two games of the season after both limped off early in the chaos at Huddersfield.

That should mean a reprieve for recently-dropped right-back Cyrus Christie and an opportunity for either Simon Dawkins or Jamie Ward in the five-man midfield.

Chris Martin and George Thorne are both back on the sidelines after unsuccessful returns from layoffs, while Jake Buxton also remains out.

Harris could name an unchanged side and hope to extract a final couple of goals from veteran striker Ricardo Fuller, formerly of Stoke City and Portsmouth among others.

Lee Martin is an option if the hosts go with an extra midfielder, but their search for greater firepower up front means that Gueye and Aiden O'Brien will both likely start.

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Forde; Dunne, Beevers, Nelson, Harding; Abdou, Bailey, Woolford, Gueye; Fuller, O'Brien

Derby possible starting lineup:
Grant; Christie, Keogh, Shotton, Warnock; Dawkins, Hughes, Hendrick, Lingard, Ince; Bent



Head To Head

Millwall have 17 wins compared to Derby's 13 in the history of this fixture, and have avoided defeat in their last two clashes with the Rams.

However, County were 5-1 victors on their last trip to The Den, although none of scorers Bryson, Buxton or Mason Bennett will feature this time around.


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Millwall 1-2 Derby

Millwall might get the goal that they have been missing in their last two matches, but keeping Derby out could be a problem. Ince has been on fire for the visitors since joining on loan from Hull City and he could spell curtains for Millwall's survival fight.


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Who will win Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Derby at The Den?

Millwall
Derby
Draw
Millwall
34.1%
Derby
57.3%
Draw
8.5%
Neil Harris during the Sky Bet Championship match between Millwall and Leeds United at The Den on September 28, 2013
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27166546281854
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27155746281850
3Norwich CityNorwich27148549351450
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27138655352047
5Middlesbrough271210530191146
6Derby CountyDerby2712783834443
7Bristol City2711883429541
8Birmingham CityBirmingham2791263930939
9Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2791263931839
10Hull City27116103933639
11Queens Park RangersQPR27116103335-239
12Aston Villa2791174943638
13Swansea CitySwansea27107103632437
14Blackburn RoversBlackburn2791083541-637
15Stoke CityStoke2781183134-335
16Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2788113245-1332
17Brentford27710103937231
18Preston North EndPreston2779113944-530
19Wigan AthleticWigan2785142840-1229
20Millwall2777133343-1028
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham27510122542-1725
22Reading2758143041-1123
23Bolton WanderersBolton2757151840-2222
24Ipswich TownIpswich2739152246-2418

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