MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 22:18:15| >> :60:1782:1782:
[monks data]
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Millwall logo

Derby
0 - 1
Millwall


Shinnie (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hutchinson (45')
Evans (58')

Preview: Derby County vs. Millwall - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Derby County host Millwall in the Championship on Saturday afternoon and are looking to complete a league double over the Lions for the first time since the 1968-69 season.

Meanwhile, Gary Rowett's side head to Pride Park having won their last two visits there by a 1-0 scoreline.


Match preview

Derby County's manager Wayne Rooney before the match on March 6, 2021© Reuters

After a run of four matches without a win, including Wednesday night's goalless draw away at Barnsley, Wayne Rooney and his Derby squad will be looking over their shoulder at the possibility of a relegation scrap.

The Rams are currently seven points clear of the bottom three, although 22nd-placed Rotherham United have three games in hand.

Rooney's side have a challenging run ahead for the rest of this campaign, with Sheffield Wednesday on the final day of the season their only opponent who sit below 15th position.

On home soil, Derby have improved defensively in recent weeks, shipping just four goals in their last nine games at Pride Park, prior to conceding 13 times in their first eight home league matches in 2020-21.

Victory on Saturday would be their first of the month and could move them up one place above rivals Nottingham Forest into 17th position.

Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Millwall suffered their fourth home league defeat of the season as they were beaten 2-0 by Blackburn Rovers last weekend.

The Lions failed to score at the Den in a Championship game for the seventh time this season as strikes from Bradley Dack and Sam Gallagher secured all three points for the visitors.

The result has seen Rowett's side slip down to 11th in the table, 12 points behind the playoffs and 14 points clear of the relegation zone.

Millwall head to Pride Park with the seventh-best away record in the division, accumulating a total of 24 points from their 17 games on the road.

The Lions lost last time out against Derby as Jason Knight's effort was enough to seal a slender 1-0 victory for the Rams in early December. Rowett has also lost his last two meetings with his former club and will be hoping to avoid another defeat on Saturday.

Derby County Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D

Millwall Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L


Team News

Derby County's Colin Kazim-Richards celebrates scoring their first goal against Nottingham Forest in the Championship on February 26, 2021© Reuters

After failing to score in their last three matches, Derby manager Rooney may decide to name Martyn Waghorn in his starting lineup alongside top goalscorer Colin Kazim-Richards, which could see Lee Gregory drop to the bench against his former club.

Winger Kamil Jozwiak, who has found the net just once in 31 league appearances this season, could make way for new recruit Patrick Roberts, on loan from Manchester City, who was an unused substitute against Barnsley.

Millwall boss Rowett is unlikely to make too many changes from his starting lineup, despite losing against Blackburn last weekend.

Central midfielder Ben Thompson, who was an unused substitute in the last game, could be recalled to the first XI at the expense of Billy Mitchell.

Jon Dadi Bodvarsson, Jed Wallace and Mason Bennett are set to form their front three once again, although target man Matt Smith will also be pushing for a starting spot.

Derby County possible starting lineup:
Roos; Byrne, Wisdom, Clarke, Buchanan; Bird, Shinnie, Knight; Waghorn, Roberts; Kazim-Richards

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Evans, Hutchinson, Cooper; Romeo, Woods, Thompson, Malone; Wallace, Bodvarsson, Bennett


SM words green background

We say: Derby County 0-0 Millwall

Both Derby and Millwall will be keen to address their current form and get back to winning ways on Saturday.

The hosts are yet to score in March and will be looking to find their shooting boots against a Lions outfit that have conceded in each of their last four matches; with little to separate the two teams, we can see a draw being played out at Pride Park.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data


ID:438808: cacheID:438808:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:10251:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 1-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Millwall in this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Blackburn Rovers manager Tony Mowbray pictured in January 2021
Read Next:
Blackburn boss Tony Mowbray lavishes praise on "whirlwind" Tyrhys Dolan
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Blanch
Nadal
1 0
6 6
Result
Cachin
Ofner
6 6
3 3
Result
Elahi Galan
Bautista-Agut
64 6 1
77 4 6
Result
Gasquet
Sonego
2 5
6 7
Result
Hanfmann
Mensik
4 63
6 77
Result
Koepfer
Carballes Baena
1 6 65
6 3 77
Result
Kovacevic
Medjedovic
6 5 4
3 7 6
Result
Lajovic
Monteiro
4 3
6 6
Result
Machac
Ruusuvuori
6 1 6
4 6 2
Result
Michelsen
Fonseca
6 0 2
4 6 6
Result
Nishioka
Auger-Aliassime
6 1 4
4 6 6
Result
O'Connell
Arnaldi
4 1
6 6
Result
Purcell
Giron
4 6 77
6 4 62
Result
Ramos-Vinolas
Kotov
3 4
6 6
Result
Tabilo
Cobolli
7 4 4
5 6 6
Result
Zhizhen
Kecmanovic
3 2
6 6
Result
Azarenka
Maria
6 6
3 1
Result
Eala
Cirstea
3 78 4
6 66 6
Result
Annie Fernandez
Potapova
7 6
5 3
Result
Gauff
Rus
6 6
0 0
Result
Keys
Camelia-Begu
77 78
63 66
Result
Podoroska
Navarro
2 1
6 6
Result
Karolina Schmiedlova
Jabeur
4 7 3
6 5 6
Result
Swiatek
Wang
6 6
1 4
Result
Sorribes Tormo
Svitolina
6 7
3 5
Result
Vekic
Sakkari
3 2
6 6
Result
Arango
Yastremska
6 5 4
0 7 6
Result
Osaka
Samsonova
2 6 5
6 4 7
Result
Ostapenko
Bouzas Maneiro
6 6
3 1
Result
Haddad Maia
Errani
6 6
3 2
Result
Lourdes Carle
Kudermetova
6 6
4 4
Result
Mertens
Stephens
6 3 1
3 6 6
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth452713576413594
2Derby CountyDerby452781076373989
3Bolton WanderersBolton452511983483586
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452581286582883
5Barnsley4521121281631875
6Lincoln CityLincoln4520141165382774
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
8Blackpool4521101463451873
9Stevenage4518141355451068
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe451614155955462
11Leyton Orient451711175054-462
12Exeter CityExeter451710184559-1461
13Wigan AthleticWigan451910166156559
14Northampton TownNorthampton45178205665-959
15Bristol Rovers45169205266-1457
16Charlton AthleticCharlton451120146464053
17Reading451511196568-350
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury45139233464-3048
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge451211223961-2247
20Burton Albion451210233964-2546
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham45128254063-2344
RFleetwood TownFleetwood45913234672-2640
RPort Vale451010254174-3340
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4579294179-3830


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!