UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Telia Parken

Denmark
1 - 2
Spain

Isaksen (84')
Norgaard (33'), Hojbjerg (79'), Andersen (90'), Isaksen (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Oyarzabal (15'), Perez (58')
Oyarzabal (74'), Morata (90')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Switzerland 2-2 Denmark
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	4	7	10
2	Denmark	4	3	7
3	Serbia	4	-3	4
4	Switzerland	4	-7	1

Spain

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Spain 3-0 Serbia
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	4	7	10
2	Denmark	4	3	7
3	Serbia	4	-3	4
4	Switzerland	4	-7	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Denmark win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Spain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Spain.

Result
Denmark	Draw	Spain
27.47% ( -0.36)	26.81% ( -0.05)	45.71% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 48.49% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.94% (

0.02)

56.06% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.86% (

0.02)

77.14% (

-0.02)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.2% (

-0.28)

35.8% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.42% (

-0.29)

72.58% (

0.29)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.54% (

0.21)

24.46% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.09% (

0.3)

58.91% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Denmark 27.47%

Spain 45.71%

Draw 26.81%

Denmark	Draw	Spain
1-0 @ 9% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.47%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.71%