Nations League
Nov 15, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Telia Parken
  • Christian Norgaard 33' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 79' yellowcard
  • Gustav Isaksen 84' goal
  • Joachim Andersen 90' yellowcard
  • Gustav Isaksen 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 15'
  • goal Ayoze Perez 58'
  • yellowcard Mikel Oyarzabal 74'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 90'

Denmark vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 15, 2024 7.45pm
Switzerland 2 - 2 Denmark

Spain

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 15, 2024 7.45pm
Spain 3 - 0 Serbia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Denmark win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Spain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Spain.

Result

Denmark 27.47% (-0.36)
Draw 26.81% (-0.06)
Spain 45.71% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.49% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.94% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 56.06% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 22.86% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 77.14% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 10.03% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 89.97% (-0.01)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5 64.2% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 35.8% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 27.42% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 72.58% (+0.30)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 75.54% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 24.46% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 41.09% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 58.91% (-0.30)

Score analysis

Denmark 27.47%
Draw 26.81%
Spain 45.71%
Denmark
1-0 @ 9% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 6.51% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.62% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.23% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.76% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.81%
Spain
0-1 @ 12.33% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.92% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 8.68% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.19% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.07% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.47% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.43% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 45.71%

Head to Head

Nations League
Oct 12, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia
  • Martin Zubimendi 79' goal
  • David Raya 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 23'
  • yellowcard Victor Kristansen 85'
  • yellowcard Alexander Bah 88'
  • yellowcard Victor Nelsson 90'+3'