COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jun 10, 2025 at 2pm UK

Dr. Petrus Molemela Stadium

Mozambique
1 - 3
Zimbabwe

Eduardo Pedro (54'), Dauce (80')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Makunike (90+4')
Meke (11')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Zimbabwe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions

Last Game: Algeria 5-1 Mozambique
Tuesday, March 25 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Next Game: South Africa vs. Mozambique
Wednesday, June 4 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Zimbabwe

All competitions

Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, March 25 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Next Game: Mauritius vs. Zimbabwe
Wednesday, June 4 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mozambique win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw has a probability of 27.5% and a win for Zimbabwe has a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Zimbabwe win it is 0-1 (8.87%).

Result
Mozambique	Draw	Zimbabwe
51.54% ( -0.04)	27.54% ( 0.05)	20.92% ( -0)

Both teams to score 40.66% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.98% (

-0.14)

63.02% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.52% (

-0.1)

82.48% (

0.11)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.19% (

-0.08)

24.81% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.61% (

-0.12)

59.39% (

0.12)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.07% (

-0.09)

45.93% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.33% (

-0.07)

81.66% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Mozambique 51.54%

Zimbabwe 20.92%

Draw 27.52%

Mozambique	Draw	Zimbabwe
1-0 @ 15.88% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 51.54%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 27.52%	0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 20.92%