Copa do Brasil
Nov 8, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 7.00pm
Palmeiras 1 - 0 Vasco

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 7.00pm
Palmeiras 1 - 0 Vasco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Palmeiras has a probability of 33.83% and a draw has a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Palmeiras win is 0-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.16%).

Result

Vasco da Gama 39.39%
Draw 26.79%
Palmeiras 33.83%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.66%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.32%
Under 3.5 69.68%
Over 4.5 16.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.1% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 30.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 42.42%
Palmeiras 27.07% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 45.4% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.04%
Palmeiras 47.56% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.03%
Equal 8 11.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 31.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 45.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 42.97%
Over 10.5 34.74%
Under 10.5 65.26%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 40.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.32%
Under 2.5 82.68%
Over 3.5 5.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.2% ▲ (+0.02)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 68.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 36.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.45% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 39.4%
Draw 26.78%
Palmeiras 33.83%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 9.24%
2-1 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.92%
Other @ 5.51%
Total : 39.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.97%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.78%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 33.83%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Nov 1, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mauricio 24' goal
  • Lucas Evangelista 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Alexander Barboza 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Lescano 22'
  • yellowcard Alan Saldivia 30'
  • yellowcard Lucas Piton 37'
  • redcard Alan Saldivia 77'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 23, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Marlon Freitas 9' yellowcard
  • José Manuel López 47' goal
  • Vitor Roque 51' goal
  • Mauricio 56' goal
  • José Manuel López 89' goal
  • yellowcard Andrés Gómez 44'
  • yellowcard Thiago Mendes  50'
  • yellowcard Robert Renan 83'
  • goal Facundo Colidio 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Cuiabano 46' yellowcard
  • Johan Rojas 57' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 57' yellowcard
  • Adson 57' yellowcard
  • Thiago Mendes 63' goal
  • Claudio Spinelli 69' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 74' goal
  • Cauan Barros 78' yellowcard
  • goal José Manuel López 40'
  • yellowcard Luighi 69'
  • yellowcard Allan 69'
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 72'
  • yellowcard Agustín Giay 72'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gabriel 82'
Brasileiro
Oct 1, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek
  • Luiz Gustavo Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos 51' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 58' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 58' yellowcard
  • goal Vitor Roque 60'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 22, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 68' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 26'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 76'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Weverton 90'+7'