Copa Libertadores
Oct 22, 2026 1.30am
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 1.30am
Fluminense 1 - 2 Palmeiras

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 1.30am
Fluminense 1 - 2 Palmeiras

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw has a probability of 24.54% and a win for Fluminense has a probability of 15.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.98%) , while for a Fluminense win it is 0-1 (5.92%).

Result

Palmeiras 59.76% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 24.54% ▲ (+0.24)
Fluminense 15.7% ▼ (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.11% ▼ (-0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.33% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 1.5 29.67% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 2.5 45.35% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 2.5 54.65% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 3.5 24.29% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 3.5 75.71% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 4.5 14.6% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 4.5 85.4% ▲ (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 44.86% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 40.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Fluminense 14.9% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 65.03% ▼ (-0.22)
No Goal 8.7% ▲ (+0.34)
Fluminense 26.27% ▼ (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 56.66%
Equal 8 10.24%
Under 8 33.1%
Over 9 46.28%
Equal 9 10.38%
Under 9 43.34%
Over 10.5 36.53%
Under 10.5 63.47%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 50.62% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 1.5 49.38% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 2.5 24.44% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 75.56% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 9.72% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 90.28% ▲ (+0.18)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 47.87% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 0.5 52.13% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 1.5 16.84% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 83.16% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 4.78% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 95.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 59.76%
Draw 24.54%
Fluminense 15.71%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 15.06% ▲ (+0.32)
2-0 @ 11.92% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 9.47% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 59.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.34)
2-2 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.54%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 15.71%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Oct 15, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Wesley Natã 90'+3' goal
  • Nonato 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal José Manuel López 45'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 49'
  • goal Marlon Freitas 85'
  • yellowcard Agustín Giay 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Mauricio 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Aug 15, 2026 8.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Hulk  42' goal
  • Guga 61' yellowcard
  • Agustín Canobbio 63' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 78' yellowcard
  • Kevin Serna 85' goal
  • Martinelli 86' yellowcard
  • Germán Cano  90'+2' goal
  • goal Gustavo Gómez   10'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Piquerez 34'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gabriel 73'
  • goal Mauricio 82'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Vitor Roque 9' yellowcard
  • Allan 13' goal
  • Agustín Giay 59' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 59' yellowcard
  • Lucas Evangelista 70' yellowcard
  • Ramón Sosa 70' yellowcard
  • Felipe Anderson 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Otávio 25'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 40'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo  46'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 61'
  • yellowcard Hércules  61'
  • yellowcard Hércules  62'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 62'
  • yellowcard Santiago Moreno 87'
Brasileiro
Nov 23, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Jul 23, 2025 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Marcos Rocha 85' yellowcard
  • Estevao Willian 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 6'
  • goal Kevin Serna 37'
  • yellowcard German Cano 41'
  • yellowcard Fabio 83'
  • yellowcard Kaua Elias Nogueira 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 90'+7'