Copa do Brasil
Nov 1, 2026 9.30pm
Arena do Grêmio

Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Atletico Mineiro has a probability of 32.02% and a draw has a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win is 0-1 (9.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.63%).

Result

Gremio 40.32% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 27.6% ▼ (-0.06)
Atletico Mineiro 32.02% ▼ (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.08% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 27.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 47.67% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 52.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 26.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 73.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.15% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Gremio 30.25% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 45.84% ▼ (-0.05)
Atletico Mineiro 23.91% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Gremio 50.76% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 8.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Atletico Mineiro 41.06% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 10.86%
Under 8 25.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 51.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 36.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 40.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 59.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 38.73% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 61.27% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 15.58% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 84.42% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 5.17% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.83% ▼ (-0.05)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 66.29% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 0.5 33.71% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 32.15% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 67.85% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 11.16% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 88.84% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.74% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Gremio 40.32%
Draw 27.61%
Atletico Mineiro 32.01%
Gremio
1-0 @ 10.57% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 40.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.61%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 32.01%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Aug 16, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Vitor Hugo  19' goal
  • Angelo Preciado 42' yellowcard
  • Mamady Cissé  45'+2' yellowcard
  • Renan Lodi 57' yellowcard
  • Tomás Cuello 62' goal
  • Tomás Cuello 66' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavón 39'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann  61'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gabriel 69'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Erick Noriega 51' goal
  • Marlon 66' goal
  • Dodi 69' yellowcard
  • Roger 80' yellowcard
  • 80' yellowcard
  • João Pedro 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mamady Cissé 46'
  • goal Victor Hugo 56'
  • yellowcard Reinier 68'
  • yellowcard Dudu 69'
  • yellowcard Alan Minda 80'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 89'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 90'
Brasileiro
Aug 17, 2025 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Mar 29, 2025 9.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Matias Arezo 33' goal
  • Wagner Leonardo 39' yellowcard
  • Edenilson 45' goal
  • Jemerson 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Cristian Pavon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Cristian Olivera 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Rony 75'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Oct 9, 2024 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena MRV
  • Hulk 11' goal
  • Lyanco 18' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Milito 19' yellowcard
  • Deyverson 39' goal
  • Deyverson 54' yellowcard
  • Fausto Vera 55' yellowcard
  • Hulk 90' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Aravena 24'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 33'
  • yellowcard Agustin Marchesin 35'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 54'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Sep 1, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Gustavo Martins 20' redcard
  • Martin Braithwaite 32' goal
  • Franco Cristaldo 42' goal
  • Walter Kannemann 71' yellowcard
  • Agustin Marchesin 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bernard 29'
  • yellowcard Deyverson 40'
  • goal Gustavo Scarpa 73'
  • yellowcard Brahian Palacios 78'
  • goal Brahian Palacios 90'+3'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 90'+6'