Copa do Brasil
Nov 7, 2026 9.00pm
Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 9.30pm
Gremio 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro

Gremio

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 9.30pm
Gremio 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw has a probability of 21.65% and a win for Gremio has a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.31%) , while for a Gremio win it is 0-1 (5.88%).

Result

Atletico Mineiro 57.12% ▲ (+3.22)
Draw 21.65% ▼ (-1.25)
Gremio 21.22% ▼ (-2.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.45% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.42% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 1.5 21.58% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 2.5 56.28% ▲ (+1.50)
Under 2.5 43.72% ▼ (-1.54)
Over 3.5 34.02% ▲ (+2.62)
Under 3.5 65.98% ▼ (-2.61)
Over 4.5 21.08% ▲ (+2.40)
Under 4.5 78.92% ▼ (-2.40)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 41.85% ▲ (+2.22)
Draw 39.12% ▼ (-1.06)
Gremio 19.03% ▼ (-1.17)

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 60.68% ▲ (+0.43)
No Goal 5.65% ▼ (-0.05)
Gremio 33.67% ▼ (-0.40)

Corners

Over 8 68.13% ▲ (+1.29)
Equal 8 10.01% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 8 21.86% ▼ (-0.95)
Over 9 57.05% ▲ (+1.58)
Equal 9 11.08% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 9 31.87% ▼ (-1.28)
Over 10.5 45.81% ▲ (+1.74)
Under 10.5 54.19% ▼ (-1.74)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 54.74% ▲ (+3.31)
Under 1.5 45.26% ▼ (-3.31)
Over 2.5 29.28% ▲ (+3.50)
Under 2.5 70.72% ▼ (-3.49)
Over 3.5 12.71% ▲ (+2.48)
Under 3.5 87.29% ▼ (-2.47)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 56.7% ▼ (-2.87)
Under 0.5 43.3% ▲ (+2.87)
Over 1.5 24.33% ▼ (-1.94)
Under 1.5 75.67% ▲ (+1.94)
Over 2.5 8.17% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 2.5 91.83% ▲ (+0.74)
Over 3.5 2.29% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 97.71% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 57.13%
Draw 21.65%
Gremio 21.21%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.04% ▼ (-0.41)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.32)
2-0 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.41)
3-1 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.54)
3-0 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.43)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 12.58% ▲ (+2.47)
Total : 57.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% ▼ (-0.88)
0-0 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.65%
Gremio
0-1 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.30)
1-2 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.78)
0-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.29)
1-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 21.21%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Nov 1, 2026 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Carlos Vinícius 11' goal
  • Erick Noriega 47' goal
  • Gustavo Martins 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Martins 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Tomás Cuello 31'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Aug 16, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Vitor Hugo  19' goal
  • Angelo Preciado 42' yellowcard
  • Mamady Cissé  45'+2' yellowcard
  • Renan Lodi 57' yellowcard
  • Tomás Cuello 62' goal
  • Tomás Cuello 66' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavón 39'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann  61'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gabriel 69'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Erick Noriega 51' goal
  • Marlon 66' goal
  • Dodi 69' yellowcard
  • Roger 80' yellowcard
  • 80' yellowcard
  • João Pedro 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mamady Cissé 46'
  • goal Victor Hugo 56'
  • yellowcard Reinier 68'
  • yellowcard Dudu 69'
  • yellowcard Alan Minda 80'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 89'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 90'
Brasileiro
Aug 17, 2025 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Mar 29, 2025 9.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Matias Arezo 33' goal
  • Wagner Leonardo 39' yellowcard
  • Edenilson 45' goal
  • Jemerson 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Cristian Pavon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Cristian Olivera 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Rony 75'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Oct 9, 2024 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena MRV
  • Hulk 11' goal
  • Lyanco 18' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Milito 19' yellowcard
  • Deyverson 39' goal
  • Deyverson 54' yellowcard
  • Fausto Vera 55' yellowcard
  • Hulk 90' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Aravena 24'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 33'
  • yellowcard Agustin Marchesin 35'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 54'