Conference League
Jul 8, 2026 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Llanelian Road
  • Callum West 37' yellowcard
  • James Jones 77' yellowcard
  • Iwan Murray 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Valentin Serebe 18'
  • yellowcard Ardit Deliu 90'+2'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs KF Ballkani - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

KF Ballkani

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for KF Ballkani had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest KF Ballkani win was 0-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 47.4% (-0.58)
Draw 24.19% (+0.12)
KF Ballkani 28.38% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.98% (+0.48)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.81% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 23.19% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 54.31% (+0.72)
Under 2.5 45.69% (-0.72)
Over 3.5 31.61% (+0.94)
Under 3.5 68.39% (-0.94)
Over 4.5 19.16% (+0.83)
Under 4.5 80.84% (-0.82)

First Half Winner

Connah's Quay Nomads 38.79% (-0.37)
Draw 40.72% (+0.75)
KF Ballkani 20.49% (-0.38)

Team To Score First

Connah's Quay Nomads 60.49% (+0.24)
No Goal 6.7% (-0.09)
KF Ballkani 32.81% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 54.96% (-0.62)
Equal 8 11.13% (-0.29)
Under 8 33.91% (+0.92)
Over 9 43.87% (-0.28)
Equal 9 11.1% (-0.34)
Under 9 45.04% (+0.62)
Over 10.5 33.65% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 66.35% (-0.06)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 1.5 46.72% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 53.28% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 22.9% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 77.1% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 9.42% (+0.43)
Under 3.5 90.58% (-0.44)

KF Ballkani Goals

Over 0.5 62.81% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 37.19% (-0.32)
Over 1.5 30.73% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 69.27% (-0.89)
Over 2.5 11.69% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 88.31% (-0.57)
Over 3.5 3.56% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 96.44% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 47.38%
Draw 24.2%
KF Ballkani 28.38%
Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.29)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.24)
2-0 @ 7.26% (-0.24)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.22% (+0.37)
Total : 47.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.09% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.08)
Total : 24.2%
KF Ballkani
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 6.75% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.22% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.67% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.22% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2.06% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.36% (+0.17)
Total : 28.38%