CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 18, 2026 2.30am
Monterrey Stadium

Mexico vs Jamaica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Nov 15, 2026 1.00am
Jamaica 3 - 2 Mexico

Jamaica

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Nov 15, 2026 1.00am
Jamaica 3 - 2 Mexico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mexico win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Jamaica has a probability of 33.66% and a draw has a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.46%) and 2-1 (7.27%). The likeliest Jamaica win is 0-1 (10.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.46%).

Result

Mexico 38.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 27.6%
Jamaica 33.66% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.16% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 32.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 41.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 58.87%
Over 3.5 21.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 78.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.29% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Mexico 24.26%
Draw 44.83%
Jamaica 30.91%

Team To Score First

Mexico 40.22% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 10.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Jamaica 49.5%

Corners

Over 8 38.37%
Equal 8 11.64%
Under 8 49.99%
Over 9 28.2%
Equal 9 10.17%
Under 9 61.63%
Over 10.5 19.98%
Under 10.5 80.02%

Mexico Goals

Over 1.5 33.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 66.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 12.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.81%
Under 3.5 96.19%

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5 63.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 36.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 30.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 69.84% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 10.93% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 89.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.37% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Mexico 38.76%
Draw 27.6%
Jamaica 33.66%
Mexico
1-0 @ 12.06% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 38.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 10.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 27.6%
Jamaica
0-1 @ 10.33%
1-2 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 33.66%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 15, 2026 1.00am
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Independence Park
  • Jesús Gallardo 27' goal
  • Renaldo Cephas 46' goal
  • Richard King 63' goal
  • goal Gilberto Mora 70'
  • goal Julián Quiñones 81'
Copa America
Jun 23, 2024 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT NRG Stadium
  • Gerardo Arteaga 69' goal
  • Gerardo Arteaga 69' goal
  • goal Michail Antonio 51'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 13, 2023 3.36am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Allegiant Stadium
  • goal Henry Martin 2'
  • goal Luis Chavez 30'
  • goal Roberto Alvarado 90'+3'
CONCACAF Nations League
Mar 27, 2023 1.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Orbelin Pineda 17' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 45'+2' goal
  • goal Bobby Reid 7'
  • goal Edson Alvarez 32' (OG)
CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 15, 2022 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Independence Park
  • Leon Bailey 4' goal
  • Jamoi Topey 7' yellowcard
  • Amari'i Bell 48' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Uriel 37'
  • goal Luis Romo 45'+3'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Jan 28, 2022 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Damion Lowe 45'+2' redcard
  • Daniel Johnson 50' goal
  • goal Henry Martin 81'
  • goal Alexis Vega 83'