CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 15, 2026 1.00am
Independence Park

Jamaica vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions

Mexico

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mexico win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Jamaica has a probability of 36.97% and a draw has a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Jamaica win is 1-0 (8.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.44%).

Result

Jamaica 36.97%
Draw 25.07%
Mexico 37.89% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.06%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.61%
Under 1.5 24.39%
Over 2.5 52.36%
Under 2.5 47.64%
Over 3.5 29.86%
Under 3.5 70.14%
Over 4.5 17.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.96% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Jamaica 32.04%
Draw 42.27%
Mexico 25.69%

Team To Score First

Jamaica 52.7%
No Goal 7.04%
Mexico 40.26%

Corners

Over 8 39.04%
Equal 8 12.28%
Under 8 48.69%
Over 9 28.27%
Equal 9 10.76%
Under 9 60.96%
Over 10.5 19.58%
Under 10.5 80.42%

Jamaica Goals

Over 1.5 37.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 83.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.62% ▼ (-0.01)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 70.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 29.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 38.39%
Under 1.5 61.61%
Over 2.5 16.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.29% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Jamaica 36.98%
Draw 25.07%
Mexico 37.88%
Jamaica
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.61%
Other @ 5.1%
Total : 36.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.07%
Mexico
0-1 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51%
Other @ 5.43%
Total : 37.88%

Head to Head

Copa America
Jun 23, 2024 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT NRG Stadium
  • Gerardo Arteaga 69' goal
  • Gerardo Arteaga 69' goal
  • goal Michail Antonio 51'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 13, 2023 3.36am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Allegiant Stadium
  • goal Henry Martin 2'
  • goal Luis Chavez 30'
  • goal Roberto Alvarado 90'+3'
CONCACAF Nations League
Mar 27, 2023 1.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Orbelin Pineda 17' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 45'+2' goal
  • goal Bobby Reid 7'
  • goal Edson Alvarez 32' (OG)
CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 15, 2022 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Independence Park
  • Leon Bailey 4' goal
  • Jamoi Topey 7' yellowcard
  • Amari'i Bell 48' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Uriel 37'
  • goal Luis Romo 45'+3'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Jan 28, 2022 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Damion Lowe 45'+2' redcard
  • Daniel Johnson 50' goal
  • goal Henry Martin 81'
  • goal Alexis Vega 83'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sep 3, 2021 3.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alexis Vega 21' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 22' yellowcard
  • Edson Alvarez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 50' goal
  • Henry Martin 89' goal
  • Henry Martin 90' goal
  • yellowcard Cory Burke 14'
  • goal Shamar Nicholson 65'