CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 6, 2026 3.00am
Estadio Tiburcio Carías Andino

Honduras vs Jamaica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions

Jamaica

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 1.00am
Jamaica 3 - 2 Guatemala

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Honduras win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Jamaica has a probability of 35.87% and a draw has a probability of 27.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Jamaica win is 0-1 (10%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.66%).

Result

Honduras 36.47% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 27.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Jamaica 35.87% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.75% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 28.7% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 46.29% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 53.71% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 25.24% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 74.76% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 13.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.03% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Honduras 26.22% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 46.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Jamaica 27.52% ▲ (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Honduras 46.18% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 8.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Jamaica 44.96% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 38.03% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 50.54% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 9 28.08% ▲ (+0.13)
Equal 9 9.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 61.97% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 20.06% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 10.5 79.94% ▼ (-0.11)

Honduras Goals

Over 1.5 34.93% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 65.07% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 14.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 85.89% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.1% ▲ (+0.02)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5 67.76% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 32.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 34.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 86.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 4.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.91% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Honduras 36.47%
Draw 27.63%
Jamaica 35.87%
Honduras
1-0 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 36.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.63%
Jamaica
0-1 @ 10% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 35.87%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Independence Park
  • Brandon Cover 27' yellowcard
  • Joel Latibeaudiere 37' yellowcard
  • Bailey Cadamarteri 41' yellowcard
  • Dwayne Atkinson 85' yellowcard
  • goal Keyrol Figueroa 14'
  • yellowcard Christopher Meléndez 52'
  • yellowcard Denil Maldonado 56'
  • redcard Dereck Moncada 68'
CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 15, 2024 2.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Independence Park
  • Michail Antonio 77' yellowcard
  • Michail Antonio 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kervin Arriaga 55'
  • yellowcard Kervin Arriaga 55'
  • yellowcard Christopher Melendez 88'
  • yellowcard Christopher Melendez 88'
CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 11, 2024 3.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino
  • David Ruiz 50' goal
  • David Ruiz 50' goal
  • Christopher Melendez 71' yellowcard
  • Christopher Melendez 71' yellowcard
  • Denil Maldonado 83' yellowcard
  • Denil Maldonado 83' yellowcard
  • goal Denil Maldonado 49' (OG)
  • goal Denil Maldonado 49' (OG)
  • yellowcard Michail Antonio 57'
  • yellowcard Michail Antonio 57'
  • goal Michail Antonio 76'
  • goal Michail Antonio 76'
CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 9, 2023 2.10am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The National Stadium
  • 6' goal
  • Demarai Gray 64' goal
  • Demarai Gray 64' goal
  • Bobby Reid 68' yellowcard
  • Joel Latibeaudiere 68' yellowcard
  • Bobby Reid 68' yellowcard
  • Joel Latibeaudiere 68' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryan Acosta 29'
  • yellowcard Bryan Acosta 29'
  • yellowcard Luis Vega 38'
  • yellowcard Luis Vega 38'
  • yellowcard Denil Maldonado 39'
  • yellowcard Denil Maldonado 39'
  • yellowcard Edwin Rodriguez 72'
  • yellowcard Edwin Rodriguez 72'
  • yellowcard Ricky Zapata 74'
  • yellowcard Ricky Zapata 74'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Mar 31, 2022 2.05am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Leon Bailey 39' goal
  • Ravel Morrison 45'+2' goal
  • Devon Williams 52' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 59' yellowcard
  • Daniel Green 64' yellowcard
  • Atapharoy Bygrave 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Angel Gabriel Tejeda Escobar 18'
  • goal Angel Tejeda 18'
  • yellowcard Wesly Decas 37'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 14, 2021 1.05am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Deybi Flores 37' yellowcard
  • goal Kemar Roofe 38'
  • goal Oniel Fisher 79'
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 84'