Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonaire win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonaire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Montserrat win it was 1-2 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.