Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.