Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yunnan Yukun win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yunnan Yukun win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yunnan Yukun would win this match.