Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 16.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.