Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 79%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 7.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.88%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.

Result
Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Qingdao Hainiu
79% ( 1.07)	13.61% ( -0.74)	7.39% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 46.94% (

1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.43% (

2.48)

34.57% (

-2.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.49% (

2.74)

56.51% (

-2.74)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.05% (

0.77)

6.95% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.53% (

2.01)

25.47% (

-2.02)

Qingdao Hainiu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.44% (

0.93)

49.56% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.65% (

0.65)

84.35% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua 78.99%

Qingdao Hainiu 7.39%

Draw 13.61%

Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Qingdao Hainiu
2-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.54) 3-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.8) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.32) 5-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.29) 5-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.16) 6-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.19) 6-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.16) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.16% Total : 78.99%	1-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 13.61%	0-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.71% Total : 7.39%