Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 79%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 7.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.88%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.