Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Yunnan Yukun had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Yunnan Yukun win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.