Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenyang Urban win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenyang Urban win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 1-2 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.