Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Zhixing win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Zhixing win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.