Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yunnan Yukun win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yunnan Yukun win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%).