Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 6.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Aurélien Scheidler 64' goal
  • Noah Solheid 78' goal
  • goal Randy Nteka 24'
  • goal Fran Pérez 61'
  • goal 90'+3'

Charleroi vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 5.30pm
Charleroi 2 - 1 RFC Seraing

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 7.45pm
Hearts 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Charleroi 45.74% (-0.04)
Draw 26.15% (+0.01)
Rayo Vallecano 28.11% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.69% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.61% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.39% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.06%
Under 2.5 47.94%
Over 3.5 29.47%
Under 3.5 70.53%
Over 4.5 16.55% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.45% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Charleroi 31.33%
Draw 46.07% (+0.01)
Rayo Vallecano 22.6%

Team To Score First

Charleroi 52.73%
No Goal 7.25%
Rayo Vallecano 40.02%

Corners

Over 8 67.84% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.43% (-0.02)
Under 8 21.73% (+0.06)
Over 9 56.26% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.57% (-0.04)
Under 9 32.16% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 44.57% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 55.43% (-0.05)

Charleroi Goals

Over 1.5 44.72%
Under 1.5 55.28%
Over 2.5 19.69%
Under 2.5 80.31%
Over 3.5 6.69%
Under 3.5 93.31%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 64.99% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.01% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 31.08% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 68.92% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.01% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.99% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.29% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.71% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Charleroi 45.75%
Draw 26.15%
Rayo Vallecano 28.11%
Charleroi
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 3.34%
Other @ 6.66%
Total : 45.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 7.25%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 26.15%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 7.19%
1-2 @ 7.03% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.26% (+0.01)
Total : 28.11%