Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2026 7.45pm
Racecourse Ground

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 8.00pm
Sheff Utd 1 - 0 Wrexham
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Kieffer Moore

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 3 - 0 Charlton
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Wrexham has a probability of 26.3% and a draw has a probability of 25.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Wrexham win is 1-0 (7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.33%).

Result

Wrexham 26.3% ▼ (-0.26)
Draw 25.08% ▼ (-0.23)
Middlesbrough 48.62% ▲ (+0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.89% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.98% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 23.02% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 54.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 45.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 32.43%
Under 3.5 67.57%
Over 4.5 19.15% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 4.5 80.85% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Wrexham 23.08% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 39.51% ▼ (-0.25)
Middlesbrough 37.41% ▲ (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Wrexham 37.82% ▼ (-0.21)
No Goal 6.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Middlesbrough 55.85% ▲ (+0.20)

Corners

Over 8 59.75% ▲ (+0.65)
Equal 8 11.02% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 8 29.23% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 9 48.36% ▲ (+0.69)
Equal 9 11.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 40.25% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 10.5 37.52% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 10.5 62.48% ▼ (-0.68)

Wrexham Goals

Over 1.5 30.2% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 1.5 69.8% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 2.5 10.44% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 89.56% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 3.11% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 96.89% ▲ (+0.08)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 78.39% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 21.61% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 48.36% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 51.64% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 23.45% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 76.55% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 9.26% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 90.74% ▼ (-0.22)

Score analysis

Wrexham 26.29%
Draw 25.07%
Middlesbrough 48.6%
Wrexham
1-0 @ 7%
2-1 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 26.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.07%
Middlesbrough
0-1 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.24)
Total : 48.6%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Aug 7, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Will Lankshear 61' goal
  • Will Lankshear 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis O'Brien 43'
  • yellowcard Sam Smith 56'
  • yellowcard Dominic Hyam 85'
  • yellowcard Callum Doyle 90'+1'
Championship
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Racecourse Ground
  • Josh Windass 28' goal
  • Sam Smith 41' goal
  • Nathan Broadhead 63' yellowcard
  • Ben Sheaf 63' yellowcard
  • Kieffer Moore 73' yellowcard
  • Ryan Longman 73' yellowcard
  • D. Keillor-Dunn 83' yellowcard
  • goal Tommy Conway 4'
  • goal David Strelec 43'
  • yellowcard Riley McGree 45'
  • yellowcard Riley McGree 46'
  • yellowcard Leo Castledine 71'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Sarmiento 71'
  • yellowcard Kaly Sène 87'
Championship
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT