Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.