Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 3, 2026 5.45pm
Stamford Bridge

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Galatasaray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk has a probability of 27.92% and a draw has a probability of 26.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win is 1-0 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.51%).

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 27.92% ▲ (+0.58)
Draw 26.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Sporting Lisbon 45.68% ▼ (-0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.1% ▲ (+0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.2% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 25.8% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 49.64% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 50.36% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 27.66% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 72.34% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 16.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.88% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Shakhtar Donetsk 24.84%
Draw 44.09%
Sporting Lisbon 31.08%

Team To Score First

Shakhtar Donetsk 43.97% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 7.41% ▼ (-0.10)
Sporting Lisbon 48.62% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 48.37%
Equal 8 11.58%
Under 8 40.05%
Over 9 37.4%
Equal 9 10.97%
Under 9 51.63%
Over 10.5 27.8%
Under 10.5 72.2%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 1.5 29.01% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 1.5 70.99% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 2.5 10.28% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 89.72% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 3.12% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 96.88% ▼ (-0.10)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 75.33% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 24.67% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 43.64% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 56.36% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 19.98% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 80.02% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 7.52% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 92.48% ▲ (+0.14)

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 27.93%
Draw 26.36%
Sporting Lisbon 45.67%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 27.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.36%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 10.28% ▼ (-0.17)
1-2 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.20)
0-3 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 45.67%