Champions League Gameweek 5
Nov 24, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Inter Milan

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.16%. A win for PSV Eindhoven has a probability of 22.98% and a draw has a probability of 19.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (6.65%) and 3-1 (6.58%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win is 1-2 (5.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.01%).

Result

Real Madrid 57.16%
Draw 19.82%
PSV Eindhoven 22.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

65.97%

Goals

Over 1.5 87.34%
Under 1.5 12.66%
Over 2.5 70.01%
Under 2.5 29.99%
Over 3.5 49.13%
Under 3.5 50.87%
Over 4.5 33.53%
Under 4.5 66.47%

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 40.33%
Draw 34.5%
PSV Eindhoven 25.17%

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 57%
No Goal 2.89%
PSV Eindhoven 40.11%

Corners

Over 8 58.38%
Equal 8 10.2%
Under 8 31.42%
Over 9 47.9%
Equal 9 10.48%
Under 9 41.62%
Over 10.5 37.93%
Under 10.5 62.07%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 62.68%
Under 1.5 37.32%
Over 2.5 37.71%
Under 2.5 62.29%
Over 3.5 19.33%
Under 3.5 80.67%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 60.14%
Under 0.5 39.86%
Over 1.5 32.92%
Under 1.5 67.08%
Over 2.5 13.75%
Under 2.5 86.25%
Over 3.5 5.3%
Under 3.5 94.7%

Score analysis

Real Madrid 57.15%
Draw 19.82%
PSV Eindhoven 22.99%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 9.05%
2-0 @ 6.65%
3-1 @ 6.58%
1-0 @ 6.15%
3-0 @ 5.23%
3-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 18.9%
Total : 57.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.01%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 2.89%
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 19.82%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 5.4%
0-1 @ 3.58%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-2 @ 2.67%
1-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.87%
Total : 22.99%