Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 20, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio Do Dragão

Porto vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Porto 0 - 2 Man City

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for PSV Eindhoven has a probability of 29.78% and a draw has a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win is 1-2 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.17%).

Result

Porto 48.58% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 21.64% ▲ (+0.20)
PSV Eindhoven 29.78% ▼ (-0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.38% ▼ (-0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.5% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 1.5 18.5% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 2.5 60.29% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 2.5 39.67% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 3.5 37.27% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 3.5 62.73% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 4.5 23.45% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 4.5 76.55% ▲ (+0.74)

First Half Winner

Porto 36.08% ▲ (+0.87)
Draw 34.55% ▲ (+0.31)
PSV Eindhoven 29.37% ▼ (-1.18)

Team To Score First

Porto 55.29% ▲ (+0.22)
No Goal 4.52% ▲ (+0.22)
PSV Eindhoven 40.19% ▼ (-0.45)

Corners

Over 8 62.12% ▲ (+0.58)
Equal 8 10.47% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 8 27.41% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 9 51.11% ▲ (+0.71)
Equal 9 11.02% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 9 37.88% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 10.5 40.42% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 10.5 59.58% ▼ (-0.78)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 50.11% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 1.5 49.89% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 2.5 25.71% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 2.5 74.29% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 10.56% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 3.5 89.44% ▲ (+0.49)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 65.18% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 0.5 34.82% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 1.5 34.35% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 1.5 65.65% ▲ (+0.89)
Over 2.5 14.54% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 2.5 85.46% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 3.5 5.54% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 94.46% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Porto 48.59%
Draw 21.65%
PSV Eindhoven 29.77%
Porto
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.21)
1-0 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.30)
2-0 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.28)
3-2 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 10.35% ▼ (-0.46)
Total : 48.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.14)
0-0 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.22)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 21.65%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.25)
1-3 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 29.77%