Champions League
PSG
May 31, 2025 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
Inter Milan
  • Achraf Hakimi 12' goal
  • Desire Doue 20' goal
  • Desire Doue 63' goal
  • Desire Doue 65' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 73' goal
  • Senny Mayulu 86' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicola Zalewski 56'
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 58'
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 58'
  • yellowcard Marcus Thuram 69'
  • yellowcard Francesco Acerbi 71'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Inter Milan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 48.26% ▼ (-1.01)
Draw 23.31% ▲ (+0.34)
Inter Milan 28.43% ▲ (+0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.43% ▼ (-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.26% ▼ (-1.10)
Under 2.5 40.74% ▲ (+1.10)
Over 3.5 36.87% ▼ (-1.14)
Under 3.5 63.12% ▲ (+1.13)
Over 4.5 19.68% ▼ (-0.89)
Under 4.5 80.31% ▲ (+0.88)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 82.88% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 0.5 17.11% ▲ (+0.79)
Over 1.5 52.68% ▼ (-1.41)
Under 1.5 47.32% ▲ (+1.40)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 72.91% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 27.09% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 37.53% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 62.47% ▲ (+0.14)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 48.26%
Draw 23.3%
Inter Milan 28.43%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.20)
2-0 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 48.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.23)
3-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.3%
Inter Milan
1-2 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.13)
0-1 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.29)
0-2 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 4%
Total : 28.43%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
PSG
Aug 1, 2023 11.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Grenada National Stadium
Inter Milan
  • Vitinha 63' goal
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 23'
  • goal Sebastiano Esposito 81'
  • goal Stefano Sensi 83'
Pre-Season Friendlies
PSG
Jul 27, 2019 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Inter Milan
  • Thilo Kehrer 41' goal
  • Layvin Kurzawa 49' yellowcard
  • goal Samuele Longo 94'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Inter Milan
Jul 24, 2016 10.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Autzen Stadium
PSG
  • Stevan Jovetic 45' goal
  • goal Serge Aurier 14'
  • yellowcard Presnel Kimpembe 27'
  • goal Layvin Kurzawa 61'
  • goal Serge Aurier 87'

Form Data

PSG 3 - 0 Reims
PSG 3 - 1 Auxerre
Montpellier 1 - 4 PSG
PSG 2 - 1 Arsenal
Strasbourg 2 - 1 PSG
Arsenal 0 - 1 PSG
Como 0 - 2 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 2 - 2 Lazio
Torino 0 - 2 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 4 - 3 Barcelona
Inter Milan 1 - 0 Hellas Verona
Barcelona 3 - 3 Inter Milan

Build-up

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