Serie A Gameweek 38
May 23, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
  • Pepe Reina 45' redcard
  • Gabriel Espeto 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 12'
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 20'
  • yellowcard Nicola Zalewski 43'
  • yellowcard Stefan de Vrij 47'
  • goal Joaquin Correa 51'

Como vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 7.45pm
Hellas Verona 1 - 1 Como
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Assane Diao

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 7.45pm
Inter Milan 2 - 2 Lazio
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Marcus Thuram

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Como had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Como 31.09% (+0.11)
Draw 25.53% (+0.05)
Inter Milan 43.38% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.48% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.73% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 49.27% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 28.67% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 71.32% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 13.76% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 86.23% (+0.09)

Como Goals

Over 0.5 70.42% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.58% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.39% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.61% (-0.02)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 77.37% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 22.63% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 43.74% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 56.26% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Como 31.09%
Draw 25.52%
Inter Milan 43.38%
Como
1-0 @ 8.15% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.38% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.97% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 31.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.69% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.52%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 9.95% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.39% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 43.38%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Yann Aurel Bisseck 24' yellowcard
  • Carlos Augusto 48' goal
  • Marcus Thuram 90'+2' goal
  • Marcus Thuram 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francesc Fabregas i Soler 63'
  • yellowcard Lucas Da Cunha 64'
  • yellowcard Luca Mazzitelli 87'