Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Como had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.