/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fpsglog.png)
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Ian Maatsen
19'
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Niclas Fullkrug
36'
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Nico Schlotterbeck
73'
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Fabian Ruiz
53'
Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F17%2Ftothaha.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F18%2Fjadon-sancho.JPG)
News
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F18%2Fborussia-dortmund.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F15%2Fsebastien-haller.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F16%2Fjulian-brandt-jadon-sancho.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F16%2Fkylian-mbappe.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.89%) and 2-3 (4.99%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result
Borussia Dortmund
31.53%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
20.91%
▲
(+0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain
47.56%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
71.62%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
73.02%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
26.98%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
52.54%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 3.5
47.46%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
33.1%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
66.89%
▲
(+0.09)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
81.6%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
18.39%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
50.46%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
49.53%
▲
(+0.03)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5
87.76%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
12.23%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
62.06%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
37.93%
▲
(+0.11)
Score analysis
Borussia Dortmund
31.53%
Draw
20.91%
Paris Saint-Germain
47.56%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
@
6.78%
▲
(+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 31.53%
3-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 31.53%
Draw
1-1
@
8%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 7.12%
3-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 20.91%
2-2 @ 7.12%
3-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 20.91%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2
@
8.41%
▲
(+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 47.56%
1-3 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 47.56%
Head to Head
Emre Can
89'
Build-up
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F14%2Fmats-hummels.jpg)