Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 52.78%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.48%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.