Champions League
Apr 8, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Thomas Partey 54' yellowcard
  • Declan Rice 58' goal
  • Declan Rice 70' goal
  • Mikel Merino 75' goal
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 69'
  • redcard Eduardo Camavinga 90'+4'

Arsenal vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Real Madrid

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Arsenal 50.82% (+0.01)
Draw 22.98% (-0.01)
Real Madrid 26.2% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.65% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.08% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 40.91% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 36.69% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 63.3% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 19.55% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.45% (-0.02)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 83.76% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.24% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 54.24% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 45.75% (-0.03)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 71.22% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.78% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 35.37% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.62% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Arsenal 50.82%
Draw 22.98%
Real Madrid 26.2%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.68% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.63% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.65% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.13% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 50.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 5.99% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.98%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 26.2%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 24, 2019 12.00am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Nacho 6' yellowcard
  • Nacho 9' redcard
  • Dani Carvajal 26' yellowcard
  • Gareth Bale 56' goal
  • Marco Asensio 59' goal
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 10'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 24'
  • yellowcard Sokratis 38'
  • redcard Sokratis 40'

Build-up

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