Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Larbi Zaouli
  • Edwin Quarshie 28' yellowcard
  • Sacha M'Baka 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arsène Kouassi 42'
  • goal Aboubacar Camara 60'

Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central African Republic

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 5.00pm
Mauritania 3 - 1 CAR

Burkina Faso

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Burkina Faso 1 - 1 Benin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.47% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%) , while for a Central African Republic win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Central African Republic 17.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 23.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Burkina Faso 58.98% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.58% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.42% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 26.58% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 48.84% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 51.16% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 27.58% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 72.42% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 16.7% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 83.3% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Central African Republic 13.36%
Draw 38.02%
Burkina Faso 48.62%

Team To Score First

Central African Republic 26.12% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.78% ▲ (+0.05)
Burkina Faso 66.1% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 31.39%
Equal 8 10.5%
Under 8 58.11%
Over 9 22.76%
Equal 9 8.64%
Under 9 68.61%
Over 10.5 16.14%
Under 10.5 83.86%

Central African Republic Goals

Over 1.5 19.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 80.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 5.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 94.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.57% ▼ (-0.02)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5 81.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 18.31% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 52.11% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 47.89% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 26.63% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 73.37% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 10.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 89.21% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Central African Republic 17.56%
Draw 23.47%
Burkina Faso 58.98%
Central African Republic
1-0 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.37%
3-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 17.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.47%
Burkina Faso
0-1 @ 12.89% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 11.02%
1-2 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 10.67% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 58.98%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship
Aug 6, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT