Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 5, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Abanca-Balaídos
  • Pablo Durán 11' goal
  • Pablo Durán 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Besfort Zeneli 35'
  • goal Besfort Zeneli 49'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Smith 71'

Celta Vigo vs Union SG - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 5.45pm
Omonia 1 - 0 Celta Vigo

Union SG

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 2-1 (6.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Celta Vigo 25.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Union SG 50.47% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.9% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 21.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.21% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 20.2%
Draw 39.96%
Union SG 39.84%

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 33.87%
No Goal 5.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Union SG 60.29% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 46.98%
Equal 8 12.07%
Under 8 40.94%
Over 9 35.68%
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 53.02%
Over 10.5 25.93%
Under 10.5 74.07%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 29.8% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 70.2% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 10.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.73% ▲ (+0.03)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5 79.31% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 20.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 50.34%
Under 1.5 49.66%
Over 2.5 24.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 75.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.15%
Under 3.5 89.85%

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 25.81%
Draw 23.71%
Union SG 50.47%
Celta Vigo
2-1 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.27%
2-0 @ 3.71%
3-1 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.71%
Union SG
1-2 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.34%
0-3 @ 4.75%
2-3 @ 3.15%
Other @ 9.96%
Total : 50.47%