Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Lille had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.