Europa League Gameweek 7
Jan 22, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Williot Swedberg 1' goal
  • Sergio Carreira 46' yellowcard
  • Pablo Duran Fernandez 46' yellowcard
  • Carl Starfelt 69' goal
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 71' yellowcard
  • Hugo Alvarez 89' yellowcard
  • Mihailo Ristic 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aissa Mandi 9'
  • yellowcard Tiago Santos 46'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro 46'
  • yellowcard Matias Fernandez Pardo 46'
  • yellowcard Soriba Diaoune 74'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 86'
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 87'

Celta Vigo vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Bologna

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 5.45pm
Young Boys 1 - 0 Lille

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Lille had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Celta Vigo 39.45% (-0.10)
Draw 25.1% (+0.07)
Lille 35.42% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.63%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.68% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 24.32% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 52.17%
Under 2.5 47.83%
Over 3.5 29.73% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.24%
Over 4.5 16.64% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.36% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 28.32% (-0.01)
Draw 43.13% (-0.01)
Lille 28.55% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 47.81% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.71% (+0.01)
Lille 45.48% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 48.9% (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.95%
Under 8 39.14% (-0.08)
Over 9 37.54% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.36% (+0.01)
Under 9 51.1% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 27.61% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 72.39% (-0.05)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 39.59% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 60.41% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 16.52% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.48% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.89% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.11% (+0.02)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 68.79% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.21% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.18% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.82% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.79% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.21% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 4.58% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.42% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 39.45%
Draw 25.09%
Lille 35.41%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.68%
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.82% (-0.02)
Total : 39.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.68% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.71% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.02)
Total : 25.09%
Lille
0-1 @ 8.32%
1-2 @ 7.94% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 35.41%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 30, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stade du Hainaut
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 21' goal
  • Gabriel Gudmundsson 24' goal
  • Mohamed Bayo 33' goal
  • goal Anastasios Douvikas 38'
  • yellowcard Javi Manquillo 44'
  • yellowcard Fran Beltran 57'
  • yellowcard Unai Nunez 88'