Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2026 1.00am
Nou Estadi Castalia

Castellon vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Castellon

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 5.30pm
Girona 3 - 3 Castellon

Alaves

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 9.30am
Girona 0 - 1 Alaves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Castellon win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Alaves has a probability of 25% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Alaves win is 0-1 (6.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.18%).

Result

Castellon 51.2% ▼ (-0.70)
Draw 23.7%
Alaves 25% ▲ (+0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

56% ▲ (+0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.02% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 21.98% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 54.7% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 45.3% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 3.5 32.4% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 3.5 67.6% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 4.5 18.88% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 81.12% ▼ (-0.15)

Castellon Goals

Over 1.5 50.37% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 1.5 49.63% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 2.5 24.62% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 75.38% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 9.75% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 90.25% ▲ (+0.13)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 61.5% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 0.5 38.5% ▼ (-0.64)
Over 1.5 28.63% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 1.5 71.37% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 2.5 9.93% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 2.5 90.07% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 3.5 2.8% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 97.2% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Castellon 51.18%
Draw 23.71%
Alaves 25.01%
Castellon
1-0 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.66% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.20)
3-1 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 51.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.71%
Alaves
0-1 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 25.01%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 26, 2025 10.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT