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Rotherham logo
Championship | Gameweek 23
Feb 9, 2021 at 7pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Rotherham
1 - 2
Cardiff

Crooks (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ojo (42'), Bennett (85')

Preview: Rotherham United vs. Cardiff City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Rotherham United play host to Cardiff City on Tuesday evening looking to establish some distance between themselves and the Championship relegation zone.

The Millers sit just five points adrift of the Bluebirds, who sit in 14th position after putting together a three-match unbeaten streak.


Match preview

Rotherham United's Matty Crooks celebrates scoring against Middlesbrough in the Championship on January 27, 2021© Reuters

When Rotherham were left with a reduced schedule at the turn of the year, there were inevitably question marks over whether a break from action would benefit them in the long run.

With 13 points having been recorded from a possible 18, it is clear that Paul Warne and his players have taken full advantage, with the Millers putting together the third-best return in the division over that period.

Although Saturday's 2-1 victory at Preston North End has only moved Rotherham one point clear of the drop zone, the Yorkshire side continue to make significant steps in the right direction.

Rotherham have now scored second-half goals in their last nine outings, a further indication that this group of players are playing with a freshness not present at many of their rivals.

Ahead of successive home fixtures against opponents whom they will consider to be rivals, that could prove important over the next seven days.

Cardiff have been left with a similar scenario as recently-appointed manager Mick McCarthy looks to build on an unbeaten start with the Bluebirds.

The Welsh side have collected five points from three matches ahead of a quartet of fixtures versus teams who are no higher than 11th place in the standings.

On the back of eight matches without success, Cardiff ended their wait for a win against Bristol City at the weekend, prevailing by a 2-0 scoreline at Ashton Gate.

Kieffer Moore has scored in his last three matches, taking his total for the season to 11 strikes from 23 appearances in the second tier.

Rotherham United Championship form: WDWLWW

Cardiff City Championship form: LLLDDW
Cardiff City form (all competitions): LLLDDW


Team News

Rotherham United manager Paul Warne pictured on January 16, 2021© Reuters

Ben Wiles is expected to come into the Rotherham XI after Jamie Lindsay's early withdrawal at the weekend.

Matt Crooks and Michael Smith could potentially return to the starting lineup as replacements for George Hirst and Freddie Ladapo.

Cardiff will be forced into at least one change with Dillon Phillips replacing injured goalkeeper Alex Smithies.

Barring any late fitness issues, the remainder of the team could stay the same for the trip to the Millers.

Rotherham United possible starting lineup:
Johansson; Ihiekwe, MacDonald, Robertson; Harding, Wing, Barlaser, Wiles, Giles; Crooks, Smith

Cardiff City possible starting lineup:
Phillips; Morrison, Flint, Nelson; Ng, Vaulks, Ralls, Bennett; Wilson; Ojo, Moore


SM words green background

We say: Rotherham United 1-1 Cardiff City

With things getting congested in the bottom half of the table, both managers will know the value of three points on Tuesday night. While we make Rotherham the marginal favourites to prevail at the New York Stadium, Cardiff are playing well enough to earn a share of the spoils.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:434185:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect6503:
Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Rotherham vs Cardiff

Rotherham United
38.6%
Draw
27.1%
Cardiff City
34.3%
166
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Mick McCarthy pictured in February 2018
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