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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 68.31% ( | 18.17% ( | 13.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.22% ( | 37.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.98% ( | 60.03% ( |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.91% ( | 10.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.77% ( | 33.23% ( |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.01% ( | 39.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.36% ( | 76.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 3-0 @ 8.12% ( 3-1 @ 7.44% ( 4-0 @ 4.65% 4-1 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 3.41% 5-0 @ 2.14% 5-1 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.95% Other @ 4.79% Total : 68.31% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( 2-2 @ 4.46% 0-0 @ 4.04% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.17% | 1-2 @ 3.89% ( 0-1 @ 3.7% 0-2 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.36% 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.7% Total : 13.52% |