Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.