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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.26%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 7.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 3-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | FC Koln |
| 81.26% ( | 11.41% ( | 7.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.62% ( | 22.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.59% ( | 41.4% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.85% | 4.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.65% ( | 17.34% ( |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.05% ( | 39.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.39% ( | 76.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | FC Koln |
| 3-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 3-1 @ 8.17% 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 4-0 @ 7.08% ( 4-1 @ 6.5% ( 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 5-0 @ 4.51% ( 5-1 @ 4.14% ( 3-2 @ 3.75% 4-2 @ 2.98% ( 6-0 @ 2.39% ( 6-1 @ 2.2% ( 5-2 @ 1.9% ( 7-0 @ 1.09% ( 6-2 @ 1.01% 7-1 @ 1% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.38% Total : 81.26% | 1-1 @ 4.84% ( 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0-0 @ 1.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.24% Total : 11.41% | 1-2 @ 2.22% ( 0-1 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 7.33% |