Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Nov 21, 2026 2.30pm
BayArena

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 2.30pm
FC Koln 1 - 2 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

SC Paderborn

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 2.30pm
SC Paderborn 2 - 2 Frankfurt
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Stefano Marino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw has a probability of 22.97% and a win for SC Paderborn has a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.62%) , while for a SC Paderborn win it is 0-1 (5.25%).

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 58.71% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 22.97%
SC Paderborn 18.29% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.59% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 24.47% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 53.62% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 46.38% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 34.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 78.32% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 44.39%
Draw 34.14%
SC Paderborn 21.47%

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 59.8% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 7.32% ▼ (-0.02)
SC Paderborn 32.88% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 64.26%
Equal 8 10.36%
Under 8 25.38%
Over 9 53.16%
Equal 9 11.1%
Under 9 35.74%
Over 10.5 42.22%
Under 10.5 57.78%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 54.54% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 45.46% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 29.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 70.66% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 12.77% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 87.23% ▲ (+0.08)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5 52.64% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 47.36% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 22.87% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 77.13% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 7.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.47% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.53% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 58.7%
Draw 22.97%
SC Paderborn 18.29%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 11.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 12.63% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 58.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.97%
SC Paderborn
0-1 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.51%
0-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 18.29%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
Oct 29, 2025 5.00pm
2
4
ET Home Deluxe Arena
  • Felix Götze  58' redcard
  • Stefano Marino 90' goal
  • Sven Michel 96' goal
  • Raphael Obermair 108' yellowcard
  • Stefano Marino 110' yellowcard
  • Mika Baur 119' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aleix García 43'
  • goal Alejandro Grimaldo  60'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 82'
  • goal Jarell Quansah 105'+1'
  • goal Ibrahim Maza 120'+2'
  • goal Aleix García 120'+4'
DFB-Pokal
Dec 6, 2023 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT BayArena
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 12' goal
  • Piero Hincapie 16' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Palacios 28' goal
  • Patrik Schick 87' goal
  • yellowcard Filip Bilbija 45'
  • goal Sebastian Klaas 83'
  • yellowcard David Kinsombi 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2020 5.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Benteler-Arena
  • Sebastian Vasiliadis 22' yellowcard
  • Klaus Gjasula 35' yellowcard
  • Dennis Srbeny 51' goal
  • Abdelhamid Sabiri 73' yellowcard
  • Babacar Gueye 76' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Volland 11'
  • goal Kevin Volland 14'
  • goal Julian Baumgartlinger 36'
  • goal Kai Havertz 75'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 90'
DFB-Pokal Gameweek 2
Oct 29, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lucas Alario 26' goal
  • Mitchell Weiser 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Klaus Gjasula 40'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2019 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT BayArena (Leverkusen)
  • Leon Bailey 10' goal
  • Kai Havertz 19' goal
  • Wendell 26' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Dragovic 62' yellowcard
  • Kevin Volland 69' goal
  • goal Sven Michel 15'
  • goal Streli Mamba 25'
Bundesliga
Mar 8, 2015 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Patrick Ziegler 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emir Spahic 36'
  • goal Kyriakos Papadopoulos 73'
  • goal Heung-Min Son 84'
  • goal Heung-Min Son 93'