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Bundesliga

Augsburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
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Augsburg
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Tietz (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ilic (68', 90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Stuttgart 4-0 Augsburg
Sunday, May 11 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 Heidenheim
Saturday, May 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawUnion Berlin
35.63% (-2.089 -2.09)25.46% (0.109 0.11)38.91% (1.983 1.98)
Both teams to score 56.03% (-0.485 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (-0.58 -0.58)47.84% (0.581 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (-0.537 -0.54)70.03% (0.539 0.54)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95% (-1.436 -1.44)26.04% (1.439 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.91% (-1.974 -1.97)61.09% (1.977 1.98)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (0.80200000000001 0.8)24.24% (-0.8 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (1.123 1.12)58.59% (-1.121 -1.12)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 35.63%
    Union Berlin 38.91%
    Draw 25.45%
AugsburgDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.344 -0.34)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.269 -0.27)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 35.63%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.415 0.41)
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.247 0.25)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.433 0.43)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.206 0.21)
0-3 @ 3% (0.269 0.27)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.105 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.117 0.12)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 38.91%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Union Berlin

Augsburg
45.2%
Draw
35.5%
Union Berlin
19.4%
31
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2025 7.30pm
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0-2
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Augsburg
2-0
Union Berlin
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Breithaupt (90+2')

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Union Berlin
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1-0
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